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This can be from a numerical simulation of the event on the reservoir after a while. Even so, Saudi Aramco background-matches their reservoir designs with extensive quantities of effectively log information, so it is most likely a reasonably accurate photo from the record of the sector. The variable becoming plotted is h2o saturation - that is certainly the percentage with the pore volume during the rock that is certainly filled with water, rather than oil. In Ghawar, the reservoir strain continues to be preserved this kind of that there is no gas cap (the gas is dissolved inside the oil), and so the pores are stuffed with oil, h2o, or a mixture.
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I see that Cambridge Power Research Associates carries on to possess a radically various perspective of foreseeable future (2015) oil supply:
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